Google’s Quantum Computer Just Achieved the “IMPOSSIBLE”

Google’s Quantum Computer Just Achieved the “IMPOSSIBLE”

10 septillion years.

That is the number Google put on the table in December 224.

Not 10 million years, not 10 billion years, 10 septillion.

Written out in full, it looks like this.

A one followed by 25 zeros.

That is how long the world’s fastest supercomputers would need to complete a calculation that Google’s new quantum chip called Willow finished in under 5 minutes.

And the reason that number broke physics is not the size of it.

It is what the size of it implies.

Because 10 septillion years is not just a long time.

It is a number that is larger than the age of the entire universe by a margin so enormous that the comparison barely makes sense.

The universe has existed for roughly 13.8 billion years.

thumbnail

That is a 13 followed by nine zeros.

Willow’s benchmark time advantage has 25 zeros.

The gap between those two numbers is not a gap between fast and slow.

It is a gap between possible and impossible.

And the moment that implication hit the room where Google’s team sat with the results in front of them, one of the founders of the project said something publicly that nobody in mainstream physics had expected a senior scientist at a major corporation to say out loud.

He said, “The only way to explain what this chip just did may be that it is computing across parallel universes simultaneously.”

That statement did not come from a fringe blog.

It came from Hartmut Nevin, the founder and head of Google Quantum AI, the lab that built Willow over more than a decade of research.

And it did not land quietly.

Scientists, philosophers, physicists, and technology analysts spent weeks arguing about what it meant, whether Nevin was right, whether he was overstating it, and whether the question he had just pushed back into public conversation was one that could ever be settled by experiment at all.

None of that argument has been resolved.

And that unresolved state is exactly why the story matters so much and why it is going to take the next several minutes to properly unpack.

Because this is not really a story about a fast computer chip.

It is a story about what happens when a machine becomes so powerful that the best available explanation for how it works requires the existence of realities we cannot see.

And it is a story about three problems that have haunted physics for 30 years.

One of which Willow just solved, one of which it just made enormously more urgent, and one of which it may have accidentally made worse by making too much possible too soon.

Stay with that because we are going to go through all three.

And by the end, the number 10 subtilion is going to mean something very different to you than it did at the start.

First, you need to understand what quantum computing actually is because most explanations of it treat the audience like they are 5 years old and then skip the part that actually matters.

A normal computer works with bits.

A bit is either a zero or a one.

Every calculation your phone or laptop performs is ultimately a chain of zeros and ones being flipped in different combinations at very high speed.

The power of a classical computer comes from doing that, flipping extremely fast and in a very organized way.

The limitation is that it can only be in one state at a time, zero or one, not both.

A quantum computer works with cubits.

And a cubit does something that should not be possible by the logic of everyday life.

It can exist in a state that is neither zero nor one, but both at the same time until it is measured.

This is called superposition, and it is not a metaphor or a simplification.

It is a literal property of quantum systems that has been verified in laboratories thousands of times across many decades.

When a cubit exists in superp position, it is genuinely occupying multiple states simultaneously.

The moment you observe or measure it, it collapses into one definite state, either zero or one.

Picture background

But before that measurement happens, both possibilities are real.

Now take 105 of those cubits, which is how many Willow has, and connect them so that they interact with each other in a property called entanglement.

An entangled system of cubits does not explore possibilities one at a time the way a classical computer does.

It explores a vast number of possible answers simultaneously through the quantum relationships between all those superp positioned states at once.

The result is a machine that does not calculate faster the way a sports car is faster than a bicycle.

It calculates differently at a level that does not have a clean comparison in ordinary experience.

And here’s the number problem that has followed quantum computing since the very beginning for 30 years and that Willow just cracked.

Cubits are extraordinarily fragile.

Any interference from the outside world, a stray vibration, a tiny fluctuation in temperature, even a passing particle moving through the surrounding environment can destroy the quantum state and introduce errors into the calculation.

The technical term for this is decoherence and it has been the central nightmare of every quantum computing team on Earth since the 1990s.

The standard solution is error correction.

You use additional cubits to monitor and repair the errors in your computational cubits.

But here is the problem that made physicists pull their hair out for three decades.

Adding more cubits to correct errors meant adding more cubits that could themselves produce errors.

Every time the system got bigger, the error rate went up as well.

You were trying to build a taller tower by adding more blocks that each wobble.

No matter how many corrective blocks you added, the tower never got stable.

The theoretical framework for solving this was laid out by mathematician Peter Shaw in 1995.

The concept is called fault tolerant quantum error correction and it requires something called going below threshold.

That means reaching a point where adding more cubits actually reduces the error rate instead of increasing it.

Every additional cubit making the system more stable instead of less.

For 30 years no quantum system had achieved it.

Willow achieved it.

Picture background

Published in the journal Nature in December 2024.

The results showed that as Google’s team scaled the chip from a 3×3 grid of cubits to a 5×5 grid to a 7 by seven grid, the error rate was cut in half at each step.

The bigger the system got, the more accurate it became.

The tower of blocks that everyone expected to get wobblier as it grew taller was getting more stable with every level added.

That is what Sundar Pichai, Google’s chief executive, called cracking a 30-year challenge in the field.

That is what the scientific paper published in Nature documented.

And that is the first of the three physics problems this chip just changed.

But the 30-year error correction problem is not what made the room go cold.

The benchmark number did.

And to understand why, you need to understand what the benchmark actually measured and what Nevin said about it afterward.

The benchmark is called random circuit sampling.

It is a test specifically designed to demonstrate quantum advantage.

The point at which a quantum computer can do something that no classical computer can do in any practical time frame.

The task involves running a complex quantum circuit and sampling its outputs according to the correct quantum probability distribution.

Classical computers are extraordinarily bad at this specific problem because the number of possible outputs grows exponentially with every additional cubit.

The best classical supercomputers can simulate quantum systems accurately up to a certain size.

But beyond that size, the problem becomes so complex that classical approximation breaks down and genuine computation becomes necessary.

Willow ran the benchmark.

It finished in under five minutes.

The team calculated how long the same computation would take on one of the world’s fastest classical supercomputers and arrived at 10 to the power of 25 years.

That is 10 septillion years.

A number so far beyond the age of the observable universe that the comparison only makes sense as a way of saying this is categorically impossible for any classical system to replicate.

And then Nevin said the quiet part out loud.

He wrote publicly that this number supports the idea that quantum computation occurs in many parallel universes in line with the idea that we live in a multiverse.

He attributed the theoretical foundation of this claim to physicist David Deutsch, who argued in his 1997 book, The Fabric of Reality, that quantum computers must be performing their calculations across multiple simultaneously existing realities because no other explanation accounts for the computational resources involved.

The logic runs like this.

If the fastest classical computer in existence would need more time than the universe has existed to solve the same problem, where are the computational resources coming from inside a chip that is smaller than your thumbnail sitting in a lab in Santa Barbara?

One answer is that the computation is happening simultaneously across many versions of reality.

Each one processing part of the problem with the results combining in our version through quantum interference.

Nevin did not say this definitively.

He said the performance lends credence to this notion.

That is a carefully worded statement that nonetheless represents a senior scientist at the world’s most powerful technology company suggesting publicly that a practical machine may be drawing on the resources of parallel realities to do its work.

Not everyone agreed.

Sabine Hosenfelder, a physicist known for sharp criticism of overclaimed results in theoretical physics, pointed out on social media that the random circuit sampling benchmark was specifically chosen because it had been mathematically proven to be unusually hard for classical computers and that the result had no practical computational application beyond demonstrating quantum advantage.

Other physicists noted that the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics, which is what Nevin was referencing, is one of several competing interpretations of the same experimental results, and that nothing about Willow’s performance specifically rules the others out.

Under the Copenhagen interpretation, for example, you do not need parallel universes to explain superposition.

Picture background

You simply accept that quantum states are not definite until measured, and you stop asking where the computation was happening before the measurement collapsed it.

The debate between these interpretations has been running since the 1920s when quantum mechanics was first being formalized.

It has never been settled by experiment because both interpretations predict exactly the same observable outcomes in every test ever designed.

The many worlds interpretation and the Copenhagen interpretation are not competing theories that make different predictions.

They are competing philosophies about what quantum mechanics means and Willow did not choose between them because Willow cannot choose between them.

No experiment yet conceived can choose between them.

But here is what makes the debate matter more now than it did 6 months before Willow was announced.

Before Willow, the argument about parallel universes in the context of quantum computing was almost entirely theoretical.

Quantum computers existed, but they were small, noisy, errorprone, and struggling to demonstrate advantage over classical systems, even on specialized tasks.

The gap between quantum computing’s theoretical potential and its practical reality was so large that the philosophical questions about what the computation was doing felt somewhat abstract.

After Willow, that gap closed in one very specific and very dramatic way.

A quantum processor has now completed a task so far beyond classical capability that the most prominent scientist on the project saw fit to publicly invoke the multiverse as the explanation.

The philosophical question is now attached to a physical result published in a peer-reviewed journal.

That changes its weight considerably, and it also intensifies the second physics problem that Willow just made enormously more urgent, the problem of encryption.

Nearly everything that makes modern digital life function depends on a branch of mathematics involving the difficulty of factoring very large numbers.

When you visit a website with a padlock icon in the address bar, your connection is encrypted using a protocol that is secure because the underlying mathematical problem is believed to require an impractically long time for any classical computer to break.

The most widely used version of this called RSA encryption works because multiplying two large prime numbers together is easy.

But working backwards to find those original prime numbers from their product is so hard that the world’s fastest supercomputers would need thousands of years to crack a single encrypted key.

Banking systems, government communications, military networks, personal data stored across every digital platform on Earth.

All of it secured by the assumption that the factoring problem cannot be solved quickly.

Quantum computers once they become large and reliable enough can solve that problem using an algorithm called Shor’s algorithm which Peter Shaw the same mathematician who formalized quantum error correction published in 1994.

Shor’s algorithm allows a sufficiently capable quantum computer to factor large numbers exponentially faster than any classical approach.

When that computer exists, the encryption protecting essentially all of modern digital infrastructure becomes breakable.

Willow is not that computer.

The willow chip has 105 physical cubits.

Breaking modern RSA encryption is estimated to require somewhere between several million and hundreds of millions of high-quality logical cubits depending on the exact parameters.

The gap between 105 and several million is enormous.

But Willow’s error correction breakthrough is the specific development that makes closing that gap plausible for the first time in a serious way.

Before Willow, the dream of a large-scale fault tolerant quantum computer was a theoretical goal that nobody had demonstrated the ability to actually build toward.

The error correction barrier meant that simply making quantum systems bigger made them less reliable, not more.

After Willow, that barrier has been demonstrated to be crossable.

Adding cubits now reduces errors.

The road to millions of reliable logical cubits now has a proven foundation.

Governments and intelligence agencies understood what this means before the Willow announcement.

The United States National Institute of Standards and Technology finalized its first set of post-quantum cryptography standards in 2024, publishing algorithms designed to remain secure against quantum attack.

The urgency of that process was not hypothetical.

Adversarial nations have been known to collect encrypted communications now with the explicit intention of decryting them later once quantum capability matures sufficiently.

The strategy is called harvest now, decrypt later.

And every month that quantum computing advances reduces the time window between now and the moment when the harvested data can be read.

Willow’s error correction breakthrough did not break encryption, but it confirmed for the first time in hardware that the physics required to eventually build a machine capable of breaking it can actually be implemented.

That is not a reason to panic, but it is a reason for every organization that relies on classical encryption to treat the postquantum transition as an urgent infrastructure project rather than a distant theoretical concern.

That is the second problem Willow just changed.

And the third is the one that is hardest to hold steady in your mind because it involves not a specific technical challenge, but a question about the nature of what we are building and how fast we are building it.

The history of transformative technology is littered with moments where a capability arrived before the frameworks for managing it were anywhere close to ready.

Nuclear physics was understood theoretically in the 1930s.

The first weapon built from that understanding was used in 1945.

The gap between scientific discovery and deployment was roughly 15 years.

The international frameworks for managing nuclear weapons, imperfect as they are, took decades more to build and are still contested.

That same pattern has played out across biotechnology, artificial intelligence, and network security.

The science advances faster than the governance, and the governance is always trying to catch up to a moving target.

Quantum computing is now inside that pattern.

Willow demonstrated in late 2024 that the fundamental physics barrier to large-scale quantum computation has been cleared.

Google’s own roadmap envisions commercially relevant quantum applications by 2030.

IBM, Regetti, IronQ, and multiple Chinese and European research programs are racing along parallel tracks toward the same goal.

The question of what a fault tolerant quantum computer can do to existing encryption, to material science, to pharmaceutical discovery, to artificial intelligence training, and to military logistics and targeting is no longer a question about weather.

It is a question about when.

And the when is compressing faster than most institutions are moving to respond to it.

There’s an uncomfortable final layer to this story, and it is the one that lives underneath all the technical detail.

The many worlds interpretation that Hartmoot Nevin referenced is not just a philosophical curiosity about where quantum computation happens.

If it is correct, then every quantum measurement, every quantum operation, every time a cubit in willow collapses from superp position into a definite state, the universe branches.

One version of reality gets one outcome, another version gets another.

Every computation performed on Willow is under this interpretation creating new branches of existence with every cycle.

Billions of branches per second from a chip the size of a postage stamp running in a refrigerated container in Santa Barbara, California.

And if it is correct, then the question of what it means to compute across parallel realities is not a metaphor about speed.

It is a literal statement about the structure of existence.

That is the part that physics has never fully resolved and Willow did not resolve it.

What Willow did is something more unsettling than resolving it.

It made the question undeniable because you can argue philosophically about whether parallel universes exist or not.

And you can do so with mathematical elegance in a university seminar.

But it becomes a different kind of question when the machine sitting in the lab is doing something that has no other comfortable explanation.

When the founder of the team that built it says the performance lends credence to the multiverse.

When the result is published in nature and the numbers are verified.

Picture background

At that point, the question stops being purely philosophical and starts being something that engineers and investors and governments need a position on, even if no position is yet fully defensible.

Google’s willow chip is a 30-year engineering problem solved.

It is the starting gun for an encryption transition that should already be running faster than it is.

It is the strongest publicly available evidence to date that quantum computation may be doing something that classical physics cannot account for within a single universe.

And it is the clearest signal yet that the timeline between theoretical quantum capability and practical quantum deployment is shorter than most the institutions that depend on digital security have built their plans around.

The number is 10 septillion years.

The chip ran it in under 5 minutes.

And the most precise answer anyone in the field has offered for where the extra computation came from is that the universe may not be one place at all.

That is not a story about a faster computer.

That is a story about the edge of what we know, the limits of what we can explain, and a machine that appears to have found a way to work in the space where our explanations stop.

Start with what is verified.

In December 2024, a chip with 105 cubits operating at a temperature a thousandth of a degree above absolute zero completed a standard quantum benchmark in under 5 minutes.

The same benchmark would require approximately 10 septillion years on the world’s fastest classical supercomputers.

That result was published in Nature, one of the most rigorous peer-reviewed scientific journals in existence.

It is not speculation.

It is not a press release.

It is a documented experimental result that passed scientific review.

The error correction breakthrough is equally real.

For 30 years, every quantum system ever built got noisier and less reliable as it got bigger.

Willow is the first system that gets quieter and more reliable as it gets bigger.

That is also documented in nature and was independently described by Sundar Pichai in a public post on the same day as a 30-year challenge in the field cracked.

Those two results together mean the physics of building a large scale reliable, practically useful quantum computer is no longer theoretical.

The path has a foundation.

Reaching the millions of logical cubits required to run Shor’s algorithm still requires years of work and tens of billions of dollars more.

But the barrier everyone pointed to is the reason it could not be done has been cleared.

The tower of cubits can now get taller without getting wobblier.

That is not a small update to the quantum computing story.

It is the update.

Now add the thing that is not verified but also cannot be dismissed.

Hart Nevin’s statement about parallel universes is not a published scientific claim.

It is an interpretation.

The many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics is a serious and actively debated framework.

It has advocates including David Deutsch who built significant parts of his career around it and Max Tegmark at MIT who has written extensively on the mathematical reality of multiple worlds.

It also has serious critics who argue it is unfalsifiable and introduces unnecessary metaphysical complexity when alternative interpretations explain the same experimental results without requiring parallel realities.

What changed with Willow is not the theoretical argument.

Both sides have been making their case for decades with the same mathematics.

What changed is the scale.

When a benchmark result requires computation so large that the universe itself does not have enough time to do it classically, the question of where that computation is happening stops being an abstract puzzle and becomes something more urgent.

The team that built the machine doing the computation is publicly saying the best available explanation involves parallel realities.

That does not make the claim true.

But it means the claim is now attached to hardware that exists.

A result published in nature and a number that cannot be explained away by pointing to clever engineering inside a single universe.

Which brings us to the piece of the story that has the most immediate practical consequence for the most people.

The encryption situation.

Right now, the data that keeps your financial account secure, your medical records private, and your government’s classified communications protected is secured by mathematics, specifically by the computational difficulty of factoring very large numbers.

RSA 2048 encryption, one of the most widely used standards, relies on the fact that you cannot factor a 20 48 bit number in any practical time frame using classical computing.

The best classical attack is estimated to take millions of years, even on the fastest hardware.

That assumption has been the foundation of digital security for decades.

The algorithm that breaks it, Shor’s algorithm, has been known since 1994.

The reason nobody has panicked is that Shor’s algorithm requires a quantum computer with enough reliable logical cubits to run the calculation.

And until Willow, there was a credible argument that the error correction problem was fundamental enough that such a machine might never practically exist.

That argument is now substantially weaker, not gone, because the path from 105 physical cubits to millions of reliable logical cubits remains long and expensive.

But the physics that was always cited as the ultimate barrier is no longer a barrier.

It is a solved problem at small scale that needs to be engineered at larger scale.

That is a fundamentally different situation.

The US government’s National Institute of Standards and Technology published its first set of postquantum cryptography standards in 2024.

The algorithms are designed to be resistant to quantum attack even from a future fault tolerant machine.

But migrating the entire global digital infrastructure to those new standards takes time.

Large organizations, governments, financial institutions, and critical infrastructure operators need years to update their systems.

And the harvest now decrypt later strategy means that adversaries with the resources and motivation to do so are already collecting encrypted data today in the expectation of decrypting it when quantum capability eventually arrives.

Every month the transition takes is another month of harvested data sitting and waiting.

Willow did not break any encryption, but Willow changed the deadline estimate in a meaningful direction.

[clears throat] The machine that can eventually run Shor’s algorithm is now demonstrabably being built by the same team that just cleared the fundamental physics barrier.

The road map is real.

The question is how much time remains before the capability arrives and whether the transition to postquantum cryptography is moving fast enough to meet it.

Here is the thing about the number 10 septilion that most coverage of Willow got wrong in the rush to find a headline.

The number is not important because it is big.

Big numbers are everywhere in science and most of them do not change anything in your daily life.

This number is important because of what it rules out.

It rules out the possibility that Willow is doing something explainable by classical physics running very fast.

There is no version of very fast that covers 25 orders of magnitude of difference.

You cannot get from 13.8 billion years, the age of the universe to 10 septillion years by upgrading your processor or writing better code.

The gap is not quantitative.

It is categorical.

And when a result is categorically unexplainable by classical physics, the question of what is actually happening inside the system doing the computation is not a philosophical indulgence.

It is a scientific necessity.

Google’s Willow team is not the first group to notice something strange about quantum computation that resists easy classical explanation.

The entire 30-year history of quantum computing research is built on taking seriously the fact that quantum systems do things that should not be possible if the universe contains only the classical reality we can directly observe.

What Willow did is push that observation from the scale of thought experiments and small demonstrations into the scale of a result so large and so verifiable that ignoring the underlying question is no longer intellectually comfortable.

The universe is 13.8 billion years old.

A chip smaller than your thumbnail just did something that would take that universe 10 septillion times its entire lifespan to do classically.

The head of the team that built the chip said the best available explanation is that it is computing across parallel versions of reality.

The result was published in the most rigorous scientific journal in the world.

A 30-year engineering problem was solved in the same announcement.

The encryption that protects essentially all of digital civilization is now on a clock that is running faster than most institutions are ready for.

The question of what exactly is happening inside a quantum chip when it borrows computation from places our instruments cannot directly detect is still open, still contested, and now more urgent than at any point in the history of physics.

That is what happened in December 2024.

And the next result when it comes is not going to be smaller.

Disclaimer: This story is fictional and created for entertainment purposes only. Any names, characters, places, or events are fictitious or used fictitiously. No real person or organization is intended to be portrayed.

Recommended for You

View Archive arrow_forward